This weekend, we’ve got a 13-fight PPV card at Atlanta. DraftKings has some strong contests for us to acquire a great deal of money from this week and I can not wait to chase these huge prizes. The most important GPP is a $15 buy-in and $30k goes to 1st place with a total of $150k being paid out. They also have a new Qualifier for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they will compete for a $50k first place price and that $175k will probably be distributed between all 100 entries that match. I will attempt to get my 2nd and 3rd seats this week if at all possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers therefore be cautious chasing those too hard. I’ll likely stick to the top GPP this week and throw 100 or so entries at the $30k decoration, and then I will probably have a few shots in the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs through the week to get a fantastic quantity of drama into cash games.
With that said, let us get to a few plays I like this week Together with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of the week — STACK — Max Holloway $9,100 and Dustin Poirier $7,100
This was the first thing I did when wages were released. I put these two fighters in my cash lineup and I began building out there. I anticipate this to be among the best fights of all time and that I think we get ~200 complete DK points from this fight, plus the guaranteed win. I’m okay with taking the loss when I can guarantee myself over 100 points together with the stack, but I think 150 is a secure projection for this fight and if we can lock up 3 additional wins we should win the vast majority of our money games. Like I always say, we don’t need 6 wins for cash games so there’s really no need to chase it. Only lock in a secure lineup that you think will score over 400 total points and you ought to acquire more H2Hs than you lose.
GPP play of this week — Nikita Krylov — $8,200
Krylov is my GPP play of the week because he’s the definition of bust or boom. He loses or scores over 100 DK points. That’s what we desire in GPPs. This isn’t a confident pick in him winning it is just a shot at his ceiling that is what we search for in the huge GPPs where we’re attempting to win the best $30k prize. Krylov has finished all 24 of his own wins and he has just seen the 3rd round once in his career. This is a good struggle to target on both sides, but I am taking Krylov to get the win and that I will have a good amount of exposure to this weekend.
Underdog drama of this week — Dustin Poirier — $7,100
I had to put Poirier here. I adore his floor and I believe he is a live underdog. However, IF he wins, he will 100 percent wind up about the 1st place lineup in his $7.1k price-tag. He’s likely to score over 100 DK points if he can find a success here and that’s what we’re pursuing in GPPs. Even in the event that you think Max will dominate Poirier that I think you ought to possess 1 hedge lineup utilizing Poirier, and this is an all-purpose fight for me. Every lineup I construct will begin with Dustin or Max and I’ll go on from there. Load up on this battle and make sure you get some Poirier exposure.
Fade of this week — Boston Salmon ($8,600)
It was hard to select a fade of this week this week because I think you can make an argument for rostering everyone. I wanted to choose a favorite though and I think that the favorite with one of the reduced ceilings is Salmon. I’m picking him to win but he will not be heading for almost any takedowns and if he does not get a finish that he likely doesn’t pay off his $8.6k price . I want at least 10x (86-points) when I am rostering somebody and I really don’t see him unless he gets a knockout. Taha is tough so that I really don’t observe the knockout happening. I think Salmon does make a unanimous decision win here but it likely scores in the 70’s and that will not win us the large $30k. That’s why he’s my fade of the week.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every fight about the card and give my full DraftKings evaluation, in Addition to all of my pick predictions, then you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are offered at that link too. I’m 66-41 to get +220.23un (+$22,023) because May 19th on Premium Plays)
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