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LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7



LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7



The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers equally come into this Saturdays match with statement victories.
LSU beat the Longhorns and went to Texas. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp previous weekend. However, in this weeks matchup in Death Valley, both teams seem to take over a spot in the race to College Football Playoff.
Floridas defense leads the way in their opinion. Theyve given up the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and havent given up a stage from the 4th quarter because their opener. Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered as he went 11 with three INTs, into making poor decisions that were several a week.
However, Joe Burrow is not Nix. He is a seasoned quarterback, and it has led LSU to the offensive launching in SEC history. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in school football. This contains the 45 they dropped on the road on Texas.
Together with the roar of Death Valley anticipating that the Gators come in as 13-point underdogs around BetNow. Does the No. 5 shield keep this near and cover the spread? Or will Burrow and the No. 2 passing crime keep rolling up and win the wager? Heres the full breakdown.
There is hardly any uncertainty in the ability of Burrow anymore. He has converted to a Heisman candidate, having a immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
Hes also working with one of the best receiving groups in the country. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, along with Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns along with 73 receptions, together with averages above 15 YPC for these three.
Jefferson has great length using his 63 frame, and it has mastered in some huge games. Chase is an actual presence on the opposing side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, however, Derrick Dillon is a seasoned goal who will fill the area. It is all part of a passing game that has Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face undoubtedly the DB unit theyve played all season. Northwestern State is an FCS group, but here would be the yards-per-attempt composed by LSU competitors: Georgia Southern 111th, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Utah State 103rd.
Even though its safe to say theyve yet to play with a QB of all the caliber of Burrow, florida currently sits in 33rd. They have played FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Nevertheless, C.J. Henderson had been preseason All-American who is living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis creates a ton of havoc in the secondary (111 yards on three INTs). Marco Wilson is somewhat on uneven so far at the other corner spot, but has a high ceiling as a cover man.
Burrow will confront a menacing pass-rush, which will be healthy for the first time since their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, thought to be their very best pass-rusher coming in to this season, is coming back from injury. With him on one side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) around the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate in their o-line will be tested.
Since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) as Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has to get flustered with an opposing lineup, while his awareness need to enhance in the pocket. Auburns according is the best in the nation, and ranks 11th in lineup yards to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st at LY and will be 85th in bag speed. They will rely on blitzing LBs to help throw Trask off his game. Even the Florida QB is confident in the pocket but is not outside of it. He wore a leg brace when he reentered the match and also sprained a knee in the previous match.
Together with all the LBs more involved from the pass-rush, All-American safety Grant Delpit should come up big in policy. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240pounds, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is imperative to LSUs success on D.
LSU–such as Floridas secondary–is most frequently considered DBU for the talent they possess on the perimeter of their own defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this heritage with performances that should land him around the All-Freshman group, or even longer, in 2019.
Will soon be Kristian Fulton, who allowed the smallest quantity of first downs last year out of all returning FBS corners. Though this group is currently 69th in passing yards allowed per-game, it will be a force if given a chance against a pressured Trask.
Balance is going to be crucial as ever for Florida, who hasnt got their running game this year going yet. Lamical Perine broke a tackle at the line on his way . Even with that, the Florida o-line rankings 113th in line yards and is going up against the No. 1 d-line in terms of power achievement (short-yardage scenarios ).
Even though the LSU front may not be powerful. But Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA on the floor, and that is including Perines long run and also a 76-yard receiver sweep which shut from the Kentucky match.
If they dont get Perine or even Dameon Pierce going it puts a lot of strain on Trask at a hostile environment.
Florida has earned admiration following last week from the college football world. And while I dont expect them to come out at Death Valley with a win from LSU, I really do see this game staying nearer than most.
LSUs offense made unbelievable strides, also Burrow is just one of the QBs from the FBS. However, LSU isnt likely to install 45 or something close to this against a defense who is shown at all three levels. Their pass-rush has evolved with Greenard wreaking havoc.
The Gators defense will work out over time, since the group has relied upon them far too much to alter the wave in matches. Marco Wilson will be the subject into some late-game PIs against Jefferson or the bodily Chase.
But I do not anticipate this. Keeping the match in a lot of a slog till afterward makes Florida the proper bet on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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