The green flag drops for the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 at ISM Raceway in suburban Phoenix on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. After an electric start to the season at Daytona and two fast 1.5-mile paths in Atlanta and Las Vegas, Phoenix is the Dragon Energy NASCAR cup series’ first race in the tighter quarters of the one-mile loop in ISM Raceway. Kevin Harvick has won four of the previous five March races in this track and is the 9-4 preferred to accumulate another win at the latest 2019 TicketGuardian 500 odds. Fellow veteran and Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin is getting 16-1, while Kurt Busch is at 30-1 NASCAR in Phoenix chances after a solid start to his season that has him eighth in the NASCAR standings. Before you make your own 2019 TicketGuardian 500 selections, be sure to look at the NASCAR in Phoenix projected leaderboard in the SportsLine Projection Model.
Produced by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive information scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors such as track record and current results into account.
It made some enormous calls in NASCAR this past year, including correctly casting wins for Kyle Busch in Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. at Sonoma. Plus it’s off to a strong start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a top-four contender and nailing eight of the top 10 drivers at a week’s Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its projected top five. Anyone who has followed its picks is way up.
Grew up around race tracks. Events in places like ISM Raceway have been in his blood. His version has simulated Sunday’s 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix race 10,000 times and the results were surprising.
For the 2019 TicketGuardian 500, we could tell you that the model is top on Clint Bowyer, who makes a strong run in the checkered flag despite going off as a very long shot 25-1 NASCAR chances. He is a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.
Bowyer struck a five-season drought without a win last year and proceeded to grab a pair of victories at Martinsville and Michigan on the way to a 12th-place finish in the NASCAR Playoffs. This season, he’s added a top-five finish at Atlanta and has shown impressive speed occasionally. Bowyer has seven career top-10s at Phoenix and won a truck series race at this track in 2010.
Bowyer, who pushes for Stewart-Haas Racing, was second in one of this year’s Daytona Duels and closed out last year’s NASCAR schedule using an eight-place ending at Homestead. He will also come armed to the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 using a similar car set up to teammates Harvick and Aric Almirola.
One of those shocking 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix chooses from the model: Kevin Harvick, a nine-time winner in ISM Raceway and the top Vegas favorite, makes a strong run but falls short of winning it all.
Harvick has made a career out of getting to the front of the package consistently at this particular track. In Reality, He’s finished in the top 10 at 11 consecutive starts at ISM Raceway
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