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UFC 214 BETTING CHEAT SHEET: ODDS ANALYSIS AND PREVIEW



UFC 214 BETTING CHEAT SHEET: ODDS ANALYSIS AND PREVIEW



When it will not be the biggest battle sports event of this summer, UFC 214 is the biggest MMA event of the season. On top of this Jon Jones-Daniel Cormier rematch, the card features two additional title charms, contenders and enjoyable fights throughout.
Brad Taschuk of MMAOddsBreaker.com, takes a peek at where the betting odds have moved for many 12 fights since launching lines (indicated in brackets) were published and he provides his ideas on each matchup. All traces are courtesy of 5Dimes Sportsbook.
Jon Jones (-280) vs. Daniel Cormier (+220)
Jones was a -170 favorite first time these two fought and some naively expected the line would be similar this time around. However, it appears that Jones’ legal problems, run-in with USADA and layoff hasn’t had the effect expected online. It’s hard to attribute bettors either, Cormier is now 38-years-old, has been through some hard battles since their very first meeting, and Jones won every aspect of that first battle. Expect something like – if not more dominant – that time around.
Irrespective of how badly he takes his groundwork, Jones is the kind of fighter that rises to the occasion like others. He, this is the ultimate occasion. Cormier is his biggest rival and he’s the chance to regain the belt that he never dropped against him. That combination will result in a huge performance from Jones. Expect him to dispatch of Cormier and re-assert his dominance at the branch.
Tyron Woodley (-210) vs. Demian Maia (+160)
Much like the main event, this line has not seen much motion. Given that the contrasting styles, that’s not tough to trust. There is a contingent of individuals who think that Woodley is going to starch Maia using the first punch he throws. They might well be correct. The opposing side of this coin consists of those who think that Maia can shut the space, latch onto Woodley like he has so many others and only predominate his grappling. They could be right too. Woodley’s inclination to back himself against the cage and play counter-puncher will be his demise here. Maia is becoming so good at going into the clinch when not under stress he should have the ability to make Woodley miss once. Despite a high level wrestler the likes of Woodley, once Maia gets his hands on you, that is a huge trouble.
The Brazilian’s capacity to commence Jiu-Jitsu exchanges without hitting traditional takedowns is second to none (he has perfected the only leg to rear take) and Woodley being the kind of guy who likes to burst out of positions will only hurt him once that happens. It is kind of astonishing that Maia by Sub pays an excess buck (+275 at Thursday morning), because Woodley will not have the ability to endure 25 minutes of Maia engaging in the sort of fight he wants to. The other option is probably a quick Woodley KO (+350 for the champ at Round 1, incidentally ).
Cristiane “Cyborg” Justino (-1200) vs. Tonya Evinger (+600)
This fight being bettable depends on which type of bettor you are. In case you have no issue throwing a massive lineup in a parlay, the Cyborg moneyline (at nearly -1400), or Cyborg ITD (almost -700) are nearly sure things. If that’s not really your style, neither will probably be laying nearly 2-to-1 on a prop such as Cyborg Round 1.
The only case I can make for a play is based on Evinger’s resilience. She’s taken damage in many of her struggles and persevered and she likely won’t come back to conquer Cyborg in this one after a rough start, there’s an outside shot she can endure five minutes. But even the prices for”Fight Starts Round 2″ and Cyborg Round 2 have dropped considerably (down to +150 and +450, respectively), which makes them less attractive even to somebody who’s always on the hunt for some round robin legs.
Robbie Lawler (-175) vs. Donald Cerrone (+135)
It’s a shame this struggle is occurring after both guys have seemingly passed their peak concerning durability, since a war with Lawler and Cerrone in their best would be something to behold. This fight will return to space direction and in-fight choices. Lawler would like to be indoors, Cerrone wants to be outdoors. The difficulty for Cerrone is that Lawler’s consistent pressure will eventually see him get indoors and at the point, anticipate Cerrone to be far too ready to oblige him that the war he is looking for. While that will give us the kind of struggle we would like to view, do not expect it to finish well for Cerrone.

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